World Cup 2026 · The Lab

World Cup 2026 predictions.

Title odds, match predictions, and the probability model behind them. We simulate the 2026 World Cup 40,000 times — then you make your own picks.

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Featured · Latest · Predictions

World Cup 2026 winner odds: who wins, from 40,000 simulations

World Cup 2026 winner predictions: title odds for every contender from 40,000 simulations — favorites, dark horses, and who the bracket sleeps on.

June 13, 2026
· 5 min read

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Biggest World Cup 2026 upsets so far: what the model saw coming

The biggest World Cup 2026 upsets so far — group-stage shocks, which results the model priced as live, and the upset math behind the chaos.

PredictionsJune 27, 2026 · 6 min

World Cup 2026 quarterfinal predictions: who reaches the final four

World Cup 2026 quarterfinal predictions — projected QF matchups, win probabilities, and which four teams the model sends to the semifinals.

PredictionsJune 27, 2026 · 7 min

World Cup 2026 Round of 16 bracket explained: knockout path & matchups

World Cup 2026 Round of 16 bracket explained — every knockout matchup, how the path splits, and which side of the draw the model says is the kinder one.

PredictionsJune 26, 2026 · 6 min

World Cup 2026 schedule: how to watch every match in the US (TV & streaming)

World Cup 2026 schedule and how to watch in the US — full TV and streaming guide for FOX, Telemundo, Peacock, kickoff times, and knockout-round dates.

MethodologyJune 25, 2026 · 6 min

USMNT World Cup 2026 knockout path update: the road from here

USMNT World Cup 2026 knockout path update — where the USA land in the bracket, the projected Round of 16 opponent, and the model’s deep-run odds.

Host NationJune 25, 2026 · 6 min

World Cup 2026 Golden Boot odds: top scorer predictions

World Cup 2026 Golden Boot odds and top scorer predictions — Mbappé, Haaland, Kane and the dark-horse strikers the model likes to win the scoring race.

PredictionsJune 24, 2026 · 6 min

World Cup 2026 dark horses & sleeper teams the model likes

World Cup 2026 dark horses and sleeper teams — Morocco, Croatia, Uruguay and the underdogs our simulations give a real shot at a deep knockout run.

PredictionsJune 23, 2026 · 6 min

Best World Cup 2026 bracket strategy: how to fill a winning bracket

Best World Cup 2026 bracket strategy — how to fill a winning bracket using probabilities, contrarian picks, and the upset math that wins pools.

MethodologyJune 22, 2026 · 7 min

Mexico at the World Cup 2026: host-nation odds & knockout path

Mexico World Cup 2026 predictions — host-nation odds, the Azteca edge, group outlook, and the model’s read on El Tri breaking the Round of 16 curse.

Host NationJune 21, 2026 · 6 min

Canada at the World Cup 2026: can the co-hosts advance?

Canada World Cup 2026 predictions — co-host advance odds, the group math, Davies and the attacking core, and whether the model sees a knockout run.

Host NationJune 20, 2026 · 6 min

World Cup 2026 watch parties in New York & New Jersey: fan guide

World Cup 2026 watch parties in New York and New Jersey — where to watch near MetLife Stadium, fan-zone tips, and how to find a crowd for every match.

Host NationJune 19, 2026 · 6 min

World Cup 2026 watch guide: Los Angeles, Dallas & the US host cities

World Cup 2026 watch guide for Los Angeles, Dallas and every US host city — fan zones, where to watch, and the matches each city is hosting.

Host NationJune 18, 2026 · 7 min

USA at the 2026 World Cup: Group D odds & knockout path

USA World Cup 2026 predictions: Group D advance odds, the host-nation edge, and the USMNT’s road to the Round of 16 — by the numbers.

Host NationJune 13, 2026 · 5 min

World Cup 2026 predictions: how our model calls every match

How we predict the World Cup 2026: team ratings, a Poisson goal model, and 40,000 Monte Carlo simulations turn every fixture into real probabilities.

MethodologyJune 12, 2026 · 6 min

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